Tuesday, November 4, 2025, Empire Report

soaofny • November 4, 2025

The Empire Report – Tuesday, November 4, 2025 – Race Analysis

RACE 1 – (5) ATREACHEROUS A earned her way back up to 30s with back to back sharp wins over the 25s – she’s sharp enough now to handle the jump (with a good trip), and she also figures to be a decent price – worth a look in tonight’s opener. (4) TOBAGO TIME caught a very hot mile 2 back and was used harder than she would have liked early on in her last– she’s won 15 of her 40 Yonkers starts over the past 2 seasons, and definitely deserves serious consideration here. (1) UNCONTROLLED has been a favorite of ours for a long time, often outracing her (huge) odds – she feels a little iffy moving up to 30s tonight, but she also moves to a barn that has been sending out fire-breathing winners the past couple of weeks…playable as long as the price is fair. (2) YS SENSATIONALCITY is usually very solid at this level but her last couple (since the claim) have been lacking – leaning more towards others right now. (8) KISSIN JOE drops back down to 30s where she raced well in both local starts – would have been listed higher if not for the awful draw. (3) WHOS PERFECT ran and hid from a soft bunch last week but not sure that effort merits tonight’s double class jump – can’t dismiss her chances, but not much value to be had with that 5/2 ML price. (6) ONEDERFULBEACH has been racing decently for some time but hasn’t won in a while, and is moving UP in class tonight. (7) RAZZIN JAZZ feels like she needs a much better post…in an easier field


RACE 2 – (4) THE IDEAL DANCER A gave it a pretty good speed try dropping to NW10000 two back then had no prayer from Post 8 last week – drops all the way to the basement now, and no excuses will be accepted. (2) ITZA DANGERZONE A hasn’t really impressed in his 5 U.S. starts but he gets major post relief tonight, and he may be able to deliver a much better effort – good week to try him in exotics. (1) PINE BUSH ITALIANO moved inside on 10/21 and turned in an excellent first over try for 2nd (to a standout winner) – would have been the clear 2nd choice here if not for being scratched injured from his last (making him somewhat iffy for tonight). (3) RAYRAY had some sneaky life 2 back and built off that with a nice 2nd last week – would continue to include him underneath in exotics. (6) LYRICAL GENIUS A found a very easy spot at Stga. last week and won as the prohibitive favorite – he’s really struggled lately here at Yonkers, however, so we’ll see if that victory helped boost his confidence level a bit. (5) FIZ ZING N picked up a 3rd last week, but mostly due to the easy trip– may have trouble matching that tonight. (8) VICI just hasn’t been sharp in a long time, and now has to overcome Post 8. (7) GINGRAS BEACH hasn’t beaten a single horse in his last 5 starts


RACE 3 – (1) AMBUSHED enjoyed the drop in for a tag AND a perfect trip last week, picking up her 10th victory of the season – she gets to call the shots tonight, and that makes her the one to knock off. (3) IDEALINFUN did the heavy lifting for #1 last week and still raced very well to be a close 3rd – she could be the main danger, especially if she can find an easy trip. (5) JIVE DANCING A struggled almost all year but has come to life in her last few, and seems sharp enough to be a big player with these too – definitely has appeal with that 8-1 ML price. (4) MISS PERI GNON N is 0 for 17 this year with most of those losses coming at the NW2-4PM level – she’s defied expectations against these (much) tougher ones, however, racing decently in her last pair…ok bomb for exotics. (6) CHIAPNEC AS moves out to Post 6 after losing from the pole in 3 straight starts – won’t say she CAN’T win, but that 2-1 ML price makes her pretty tough to endorse on top! (2) SPIRIT OF PEARL A is moving way up for this – pass for now


RACE 4 – Tough race! (5) GLOWING LOU showed some legitimate potential but seemed to just fall apart after his Adios elimination – he’s been freshened up, comes off a sharp Monti qualifier, and may be ready to bring his best. (3) CARRONSIDELEGCY GB hit board in all 3 U.S./local tries, showing speed each time – logical player once more. (7) LASER SPEED was “sneaky ok” from tough spots before delivering last week’s sharp first over score – tonight’s draw may end up limiting his chances, but a big price makes him worth using on your tickets. (2) QUOTE ME NOT was a rare longshot winner for our leading trainer 3 back (31-1), had no prayer in his next, then was a solid (easy trip) 3rd last week – he fits well, and gets Bartlett for the first time – can’t blame anybody looking to use him here. (4) SABATON struggled to get going this year after some bad posts, miscues, etc. – he was freshened up, qualified nicely for top connections and may be ready to have a say right off the bench. (1) ALABAMA LUCKY is just 1 for 27 lifetime but definitely eligible to at least grab a piece with tonight’s inside draw. (6) BIG EGO was a new horse immediately after joining this barn, crushing at Monti then winning here at Yonkers as well – he did take a turn in a wrong direction after that, however, and we’ll wait to see a better effort before hopping back on his team


RACE 5 – (1) VANDIEMEN BLUECHIP was good at 2 and 3, banking nearly $300K – he’s found life at 4 to be a little tougher, but he’s hardly embarrassed himself against some strong competition out of town – he makes his first local try of the year and he did win here both at 2 and 3…he may actually offer some value tonight. (3) PINNY TIG ER A makes his U.S. debut for our leading trainer/driver team off a blowout qualifier, and he won 20 races and $263K Down Under – he may just run off tonight but he figures to be a very short price, and there’s no guarantee he’s ready for his best effort. (4) JABBAR is another possible value option – he jogged at 1/5 last week but he’ll be a much better price tonight and he can still have a big say…even if Bartlett (understandably) opts for #3. (2) BOILI NG OAR just hasn’t been finishing his races well enough all year, and that’s why he has just 2 wins, but has been 2nd or 3rd 12X – ok to include underneath. (6) SPECULATING A finally was able to pick up his first local win of the year last week but tonight’s draw figures to limit him to a smaller piece…especially with a new trainer listed. (7) PR INTVILLE landed in a soft spot last week and was able to deliver the victory – likely looking at only minor spoils tonight, though. (8) WATTSUP SUNSHINE A drops, but that may be negated by Post 8…will look a lot better next week with additional class relief, and hopefully a better draw! (5) SET SHOT arrives from Canada and feel like a question mark against this bunch


RACE 6 – (7) DISARONNO HILL has been on a pretty good roll (overall) and it started the FIRST time this barn claimed her, back on 9/11 – she returns to those connections off last week’s claim and while it won’t be easy to overcome Post 7, she’s still worth a good look with that 12-1 ML price. (5) DISTANT LOVER came up a little short taking on the 25s from Post 7 last week but she drops back down to 20s and was a winner in 5 of her last 6 starts at this level – the one to beat, but a very short price is looming. (1) IRIS SEELSTER had that form-reversing 25-1 upset on 9/10, stayed sharp since then, and scored another big upset last week (this time at 43-1!) – her price will come way down from the pole tonight, but still be good enough to consider on top. (4) YOU BEDA ROCK has 4 local wins this year and they all came from her last 8 starts – good value horse for exotics, and maybe even on top? (2) ON THE MONEY GB always seems lazy until into the stretch, but then does dig in hard to the wire – leaning to others on top, but certainly a logical candidate for exotics. (3) QUICK MENU has lacked pop at the end of her miles lately – minor spoils only. (8) FIGHT NOT FLIGHT has 2 wins from her last 3 starts but tonight’s draw wasn’t kind to her – will be hard to overcome this spot. (6) BOUT DAMN TIME A can rally at times but draws poorly and is just 1 for 20 locally in 2025


RACE 7 – (1) JOEL AND THE JETS is just 1 for 14 this year but he hit board in 8 of his losses, often vs. stakes company – solid at PcD last week in the Simpson (for new connections), and feels like the one to beat in his YR debut. (4) FEDERER was driven very aggressively last week (despite missing a month after a sick scratch) and tired from the top of the lane – he drops right back in the box, should be much sharper, and looms a logical player. (2) WA R NO MORE disappointed in his first start for a new barn last time but was also racing off a bad date – deserves a chance to deliver a better effort tonight. (5) CURRYS FLURRY thrives off “sit and rally” trips, and has a chance to pick up another good share with one of those journeys tonight. (3) MATAI PHIL N had been mostly “meh” in his U.S. starts but did finish a bit more alertly last week – chance for a piece here if he can build some more off that effort. (6) OOGLEVILLE has been hurt by bad posts and tonight’s isn’t much better – feels like too many live players to his inside to be a serious threat tonight. (7) STARE ME DOWN has been away for 2 months and draws poorly – good week to just observe. (8) TIP OF TIME arrives from Canada and draws Post 8 for his local debt, after missing nearly 4 weeks – another that figures to be handled very conservatively tonight


RACE 8 – (7) DUNKIN certainly doesn’t look good on paper right now but he did look better finishing his mile last week and MAY be ready to come up with a bigger effort with tonight’s class drop – definitely tempting to try him tonight (at a nice price) even from out here. (2) ODDS ON WILDFIRE is a 3YO facing tough older foes but he has legitimate ability, drops in class and draws inside – could have a big say tonight. (4) MACS MARVEL has been racing super for a smaller barn that’s really thriving right now – he steps up off a strong win in his last, and it would be no real surprise to see him threaten these too. (3) JUMPINGJACKMAC N is still seeking that first U.S. win in his 12th attempt – he has plenty of 2nds and 3rds and definitely fits nicely here…but that 2-1 ML price is definitely a turnoff. (1) CAMOUFLAGE MONEY was scary sharp in some of those starts vs. 30s but the jury is still out as to whether he can beat THESE types too – would want a good price to try him on top, even from the pole. (5) NONE BETTOR A was all out to get it done as the favorite 2 back, then used a perfect trip to score last week’s upset – moves up a bit more in class, and may have a tougher time vs. a couple of these. (6) SPORTY M THREE is 1 for 36 locally over the last 2 years, with most of the losses coming vs. much easier


RACE 9 – (3) ALWAYS B ELITE N won his NW2-4PM U.S. debut in a way that suggested he was capable of beating a lot better, so it was no surprise to see him step up and easily handle a NW10000 field last week – tonight’s assignment is even tougher, but we’ll still give him the narrow edge over a few classy foes. (4) FEARFUL INTENT caught a hot 1:51.4 mile last week and can be forgiven for only being able to manage a 3rd place finish – he fits nicely here, and can have a big say. (2) HEMSWORTH N doesn’t have the best looking form right now but he does have some valid excuses, and always seems to find one of his better efforts sooner rather than later – dangerous if things go his way. (5) SWEETOMEALABAMA N has been racing well for some time – a couple of others seem more likely for the top slot, but this guy can certainly land a decent piece, at a good price. (1) CHURCHVIEWFRA NKL IR probably needs to be in a bit easier to be a win threat, but he can certainly kick home for a piece tonight if the trip goes his way. (7) CARABAO A was a no threat 2nd to the top choice last week and from a much easier spot – may struggle to get into the hunt tonight. (6) HICKFROMFRENCHLICK is racing ok, but vs. cheaper – hard to see him overcoming both a double class jump AND bad draw. (8) ROCKIN JUKEBOX doesn’t seem sharp enough to threaten from all the way out here.


RACE 10 – (1) THONG CONTROL gets a useful class drop and also gets major post relief – he was a solid 2nd to NANDOLO N 2 back, and should be able to have a big say here with any decent trip. (5) TRICKY MIKI A seems to be heading in the right direction, following up a Chester victory 2 back with a solid 2nd here last week – worth a look if the price is juicy enough. (4) HUNTINGFORCHROME is still winless in 2025, hard to believe after seeing him back over $400K at 2 and 3 – he’s back with his old barn again (after a disastrous 3 week experiment with another trainer) and anything close to his best would beat these…but can he find that type of effort tonight? (2) BITCOIN HANOVER is a sophomore facing older horses but he’s been doing that for a while now – the 2 times he drew inside for this barn he raced well, and he’s very playable in exotics tonight. (3) POP IT avoided pressure to the final turn last week but did gradually weaken in the stretch to finish 3rd – ok for the bottom of the ticket once more. (6) BLANK STARE has a poor local win % for a barn that thrives here with most of their stock – the poor draw doesn’t figure to help his chances. (7) ROCKMYSTER N got the aggressive try last week that we were looking for TWO back, and was able to take an easier group wire to wire– much tougher spot tonight, however. (8) SARANAC BLUE CHIP was a surprise leaver at 86-1 last week and gave his fans a good root, right there in the pocket before tiring into the stretch – would have listed him higher up tonight if not for the brutal draw.

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