Tuesday Empire Report

apatchworkdesign • February 28, 2023

The Empire Report - Tuesday, February 28, 2023 - Race Analysis

RACE 1 - (4) BETTER WATCH IT has come up a close 2nd best in 3 of her last 4 starts (all at this level) -

her barn has finally started to win some races again....maybe it's HER turn to finally get over the hump too?

(5) ELLEOFADELI lost her first 32 starts last year before finally winning in her last try of the season -

must have liked getting her picture taken because she's already won a couple of times to start off 2023 -

legitimate threat for our leading barn. (1) LINE EM UP has been a little in and out lately but she can be a

good player in this class when on her game - look for an aggressive effort from the pole tonight. (7) CHUP

PAH ON returned ready off the 2 month layoff and was able to score at first asking, helped by an excellent

drive from Stratton - she's as solid as they come at this level, but MAY have some trouble overcoming the

draw tonight. (3) PAIGES GIRL doesn't win that often, but is usually good for a decent late rally- good one

to use underneath. (2) CAVIART CHERIE was listed with broken equipment in last week's "DNF" effort

but it's hard to say if she was just no good AND broke equipment, or if her troubles were caused by that

issue - she may be perfect tonight, but we're still opting for others. (6) ALWAYS B MIMI draws poorly and

seems to prefer cheaper anyway.


RACE 2 - (7) SPORTS SECTION's last couple of lines don't look great on paper but he actually had

horrible trips both times - he's facing much softer now, and is worth a stab even from out here (assuming

the price is decent). (4) OAKWOOD VEGAS IR has a pair of 3rds from his 3 local tries, and that includes

a decent effort from Post 8 last week - he's a very logical player in this modest field, but hard to get excited

about a wager at that 9/5 ML price. (1) BEST BETTOR has now gone starts here at YR without hitting the

board but he did show a better effort last time - draws best for tonight, and we'll see if that's enough to land

him that elusive board spot. (5) COALFORD BYTHESEA showed speed and raced ok for 4th in his local

debut, despite missing 3 weeks - may be sharper now, and is worth including in your exotics. (3) THORN

TOAD has managed just one 2nd from his 6 local tries but may be able to leave here and sit an up close trip

- chance to last for a small share if that happens. (2) SAULSBROOK HERO shipped down from Canada to

a new barn, added Lasix, and raced ok for 2nd at Fhd. last week - seems a bit cheap, but we should have a

better gauge after tonight. (6) AMBITIOUSBEACHBOY hasn't been bad and his barn is going pretty well

right now - he doesn't seem too handy, however, and the poor draw may really hurt his chances.


RACE 3 - (1) LUCKBEWITHALEX needed that start here on 1/31 (off the long layoff) but was a solid 3rd

the next week, then 3rd at PcD in his last - draws best returning to YR and figures to be a very tough player

(3) RB had a long string of sharp efforts here before tiring badly in his last (after being used very hard to

make the lead)- could easily bounce right back with a big one, and be a major threat. (5) BLACK EDITION

N was very conservative in his first U.S. start (Post 7) but was a much closer 4th last week - we'll see if he

can continue to improve, and be an even bigger player tonight. (8) GREG THE LEG was a blowout winner

in NJ after moving to our leading trainer, then just missed here in a 3-5YO $50K claimer the next week -

followed that up with an ok 3rd, but did weaken in NJ last start despite adding Lasix - he'd hardly be a

shock tonight, but does face a tough assignment from Post 8. (4) FLASH GORDON shipped in from Nfd.

off a bad date and was handled conservatively, finishing up decently at the end - he should fit well here, and

he's another that could have bigger effort in store for tonight. (2) TWO FACED has raced well in all 3 local

tries (2 wins and a 2nd) but does step up to face better now - it could be a good sign that Stratton does stick

with him (over #4). (7) R CAPTAIN HANOVER was a close 3rd last week but with an easy trip from the

rail - the move outside figures to really hurt his chances. (6) COMET CRUSADER was all out to win in

NW2 4 starts back and hasn't really fared well since moving up to NW4.


RACE 4 - Very tough race! (4) LARJON LEAH was having a very rough 2022 season before really

picking things up in the Fall (although she did have some issue in her final start, on 1/20) - her return

qualifier looks solid, the barn is going strong, and this is a pretty formless field - worth a stab? (1) CORAL

BELLA hasn't been sharp enough to be a field of 50s in some time but this is a particularly shaky bunch,

and her last start was definitely a bit better - maybe she can wire these? (7) HEY HEY DBAY was dull for

quite a while but flashed some life on 1/26, pulled off a 15-1 upset in her next then went a BIG mile in her

last, somehow finishing 3rd despite being out every step of the way - normally wouldn't get a look in this

class but as noted, this is a pretty vulnerable bunch! (5) ACEFOURTYFOUR ALEX hasn't been sharp but

she usually gets a wake up call at some point, and this would be a good field for that to happen - one of

many possibilities in here. (2) SPITTING IMAGE had a solid season in Ohio at 3 but her 2 local tries

(before some time off) are hard to gauge - can't really read into that qualifier....maybe the tote board will

offer some clues? (3) SHEIKH YABOOTY N tired in the pocket with no real excuses last week - she can

be a threat here IF she shrugs that off, and returns with one of her better efforts. (6) BALFAST N looked

like she was sharpening, but then was empty in her last couple - not sure what we'll get from her tonight.


RACE 5 - (2) KEYSTONE DASH went a bunch of big miles when sharp last year - he ended the year with

a string of poor efforts but he clearly benefited from some time off, and almost grabbed the win in his first

start back - may be very tough tonight if he's as sharp as last week. (1) KINGSVILLE was well backed

returning from Fhd. last week but was pretty sluggish throughout, managing only a 4th place finish - he's

definitely capable of better, but that 9/5 ML price isn't all that appealing. (4) MAXIMUS RED A was sent

off as the odds on choice 2 back in NW10000 but wasn't up for the ultra-aggressive drive he received -

finished ok from a no chance spot last week, and can definitely make his presence felt here with the right

journey. (5) RANDOM HANOVER finished ok from a tough spot last week after picking up a pair of 3rds

prior to that - chance for another small piece tonight. (3) CONBOYVILLE still looked short in his 2nd try

off the layoff but did at least look a little better - better draw here, and a chance at a minor share. (8) EXOT

IC SAND was unable to get close to the action from Post 8 last week and may be in store for similar here.

(6) CAVIART REAGAN lands another bad post after failing to threaten at all in his last couple - needs a

better draw. (7) MISSILE SEELSTER drops a notch but still seems pretty unlikely against these.


RACE 6 - (2) BONDI SHAKE N was on the shelf for 5 months but raced well in a pair of Fhd. starts since

returning to the races - catches a pretty modest field for his Hilltop return and Siegelman's own may be able

to beat these. (3) LUCIANO N was a no threat 3rd last week but behind a couple of sharp ones - fits nicely

with these, and can be a threat if he brings his best. (5) JUSTA LITTLE BIT A was terrible when he first

arrived from Down Under late last winter but his miles have gotten better as he's dropped down the class

ladder- should be able to have a say here as his trainer is still looking for his first win of the year. (1) VIVA

LAS VEGAS N returns from Pocono off a confidence building win over cheaper but his barn has had a

terrible start to 2023 and is still winless at YR - hard to take on top (unless the price is irresistibly good). (7)

BETTORBUCKLEUP has a couple of nice rallies for 2nd recently but bumps back up in class and starts

from outside - tough assignment. (8) SAULSBROOK HERO actually looked a lot better 2 back than he has

been, but reverted to his rough-gaited tendencies last week - he still tries hard and is better than a lot/most

of these....but he'll have a hard time overcoming the draw tonight. (4) ONE OFF DELIGHT A is now 0 for

22 here over the last 2 yrs. and the recent addition of Lasix hasn't really elevated his game (so far) - leaning

towards others. (6) PONDERINGJACKSFAME was parked at 66-1 last week and just clogged the rim -

hoping he can relax at the back tonight.


RACE 7 - (3) JAY BRACKEN A was solid in NJ and PA in his first 3 starts after arriving from Australia,

then crushed a NW4 field here on 1/24 - changed hands during a month off then resurfaced for our leading

barn last week....and almost won from Post 8, finishing 2nd by a neck (behind #7) - has to get top billing

with the move inside, and that start under his belt. (2) DP REALORDEAL went some big miles here last

Sept/Oct before taking some time off - had a nice tightener on 2/14 but ended up brutally parked after

trying to leave from Post 6 last week, hurting both his AND the heavy favorite's chances - a kinder trip

could put him right in the hunt tonight...but at a much shorter price than last week. (1) BUCHANNON

HANOVER has done a nice job handling the jump from NW4 to NW6, and another rail draw can put him

in play for another good piece. (7) TWIN B HEART THROB beat the top choice last week, but really gets

the worst of the posts tonight - will hope to rally late for a piece. (5) LOUS BEACH had a horrendous

effort 2 back but added Lasix for his last and that clearly solved the problem...as he was able to hit the top

and pull off the wire to wire (rebound) score - this is a much tougher spot, however, and he may not be able

to enjoy that same success against these. (6) PJ LOU has been decent in NJ since recently returning from a

layoff but while he has won here a couple of times in the past, the big track MAY be much more his cup of

tea - would have liked him better had he drawn inside. (4) BETTOR ROLL ON A has to prove himself at

this NW6 level -feels like he's in tough again.


RACE 8 - (3) PEACE OUT POSSE was on our tickets in NW20000 last week and finished up with good

pace, but from a tough spot - he gets to double drop to NW10000 here and while there happens to be a few

solid players in here, he figures to be best price of the main contenders...and that makes him worth using.

(1) ST LADS BEAT IT has enjoyed success at Yonkers in the past, and has several recent NJ efforts that

suggest he's ready to do some damage in his return - draws best, and the right trip can make him very

dangerous. (4) THE REGULATOR gave it a big go from Post 8 dropping to this level 2 back - absolutely

crushed a NW7500 in his last, and the move back up really shouldn't slow him down - very solid threat, but

also figures to be heavily backed. (2) PURPLE POET appreciated both the class drop and the lead last

week and was able to deliver the victory - leaning more to the top trio, but it would hardly be a surprise to

see this guy come out on top. (7) THREE IN HEAVEN A was no threat in his only YR try but did race ok

vs. better - terrible post, but a big price makes him worth throwing in for 3rd/4th. (6) BRAEVIEW BONDI

A feels like he's a little off his best right now and the outside draw doesn't help - minor piece only. (5) SAYI

NG GRACE N just hasn't been clicking since bumping up to this level - needs to be better. (8) HYPNOTIC

DREAM trailed all the way from a similar spot last week.


RACE 9 - (4) INDICTABLE HANOVER looked like a stickout in last week's field and had no trouble

wiring them easily as the 2/5 choice - he steps up one notch tonight, but really should be able to handle this

assignment as well. (1) KING TRITON A tried to cut it in his local debut and held ok for 3rd after getting

gobbled up by the top pair to the head of the lane - was in a tough spot racing from off the pace last week

and did appear to have pace in the lane while stuck in some traffic - should end up with a very good trip

here, and probably a pretty nice piece (2) ANDRES HANOVER shows recent form out of town that should

make him a good fit here, and he did win 2 of 5 at Yonkers as a 3YO - include in exotics. (6) MY ULTIMA

TE STAR A has no wins and just one 2nd from his 9 local tries but he's been taking home minor pieces

every week and will have a chance to do the same tonight....if he can find some trip luck from Post 6. (7)

SO MANY ROADS gets some important class relief but he draws poorly and his barn continues to struggle

- willing to throw in for 3rd/4th, hoping for a late rally. (3) YER SO BAD picked up an even 4th at this

level 2 back before getting stuck with Post 8 last week- chance to tow along for another minor share tonight

(8) CAPTAINS PLACE had a useful tightener off the layoff last week but gets no luck at the draw box for

tonight - wait for a better spot. (5) EL JACKO N was ok 2 back, but tends to struggle way too often.


RACE 10 - (5) SHECANDANCE N joined this ultra high % barn on 11/20 and proceeded to hit board 8

straight times before finally finishing 4th last week ....behind a trio of Matchmaker contenders! - drops

down to 50s, and draws inside her main foe....and that gives her top billing. (7) MILLWOOD BONNIE N

found her game in her last Ohio start and picked up 2 more wins (for her new barn) after returning to YR -

she has the misfortune of drawing outside the razor sharp top choice tonight, and will have to find a way to

equalize that. (2) SARA JANE beat this class to end 2022 then also won to start off '23 - finished well from

a no-chance spot last week, and the move back inside should have her closer to the action tonight. (6) KIC

KUPYAHEELS N hit board twice in this class early this year and should appreciate dropping back down -

catches 2 beasts tonight, however, and will likely be looking at only a smaller share. (1) CALLMEQUEEN

BEE A does her best vs. a little cheaper but has a shot at a minor share thanks mostly to the rail draw. (4)

LADY DELA RENTAA has been throwing too many clunkers lately, but can still deliver a big one with

the right trip - ok for 3rd/4th. (3) STELLENBOSCH just seems overmatched in here. (8) NUTTINBUTTH

EBEST needs to race on/near the lead and that seems impossible from this spot.


RACE 11 - (2) BURNHAM BOY N was handled very conservatively off the sick scratch in his YR debut

and never had a prayer - he drops to an easier spot, gets right back in the box and if he's anything close to

the horse that made those 2 NJ starts, he's going to be tough to knock off. (4) SETH HANOVER bounced

back after a couple of rough weeks and hit board in 3 straight - good chance he grabs another nice chunk

here. (3) BOILING OAR has raced well in all 3 starts since arriving here, gets a good draw for his top

connections and should be able to contend for another nice slice tonight. (1) TIME TO DANCE reversed

form upon arrival at YR and won his first 2 starts - has to move up after only managing an ok 2nd last week

but still may be able to stay close, and take home a decent piece. (5) MACH N CHEESE had a useful return

tightener last week, draws much better now and may be ready to at least contend for a piece of the exotics.

(7) ON THE CARDS N raced much better than expected last week despite the layoff and barn change -

would have listed him higher had he not drawn so poorly! Both (6) ESCAPETOTHEBEACH and (8)

ROCKATHON are in good form, but they are in tough AND draw outside - leaning towards others.

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