Tuesday Empire Report

soaofny • June 27, 2023

The Empire Report - Tuesday, June 27, 2023 - Race Analysis

RACE 1 - (5) GOLDEN QUEST N has finished 2nd in her last 4 starts but lost to the same two (razor

sharp) foes in all of those starts - neither COWGIRL LILLY nor BETTER WATCH IT are in here tonight,

and that should pave the way for her to finally get over the hump! (4) BETTER DOUBLE FLIP was an

"ok" 4th debuting for a new barn here last week - she drops in for a tag tonight, and looms the main danger.

(3) PAIGES GIRL rarely wins, but usually picks up a good piece whenever the trip goes her way - use in

exotics. (2) CHUPPAH ON got her doors blown off by BETTER WATCH IT last time and can be forgiven

for eventually folding badly - she's having trouble winning races this year, and would be hard to endorse on

top as the ML favorite...ok to use underneath, though. (6) ACEFOURTYFOUR ALEX raced a little better

in her last couple, but does figure to be hurt by the draw tonight - minor piece? (1) VEL DONNA can show

more speed early on this week....but can she last for a piece?


RACE 2- (2) RAYRAY shipped in sharp from Tioga but was wiped out on the final turn and lost all chance

- was a steady 3rd in a quick mile last week, and tonight's drop into this easier NW1 field may help him

find the winner's circle. (1) EVERYBODYLOVESLOU figures to be heavily backed here but he's had

trouble finishing his miles, and that probably explains his 15-0-1-5 career slate - he'll be a big player for

sure, but won't be offering any value for the top slot. (4) MIDNIGHT THUNDER was simply awful in his

first 4 career starts but was actually on his way to a MUCH better effort last time until making a couple of

unfortunate miscues from 3/4s (he would have easily been 3rd, otherwise) - we'll see if he's ready to start

delivering better efforts. (6) CIRCLING THE PREY wired this class in his first local try but has shown

little in 3 starts since - can grab a piece against these, but the poor draw may limit him to a smaller one. (3)

VORACIOUS is 0 for 17 and broke before the start in his only local attempt. (5) DEL MAR DOUG got

beat by 15 lengths in his only Yonkers appearance.


RACE 3 - (4) LAZ shipped in off a 1:51.4 maiden breaking victory at PcD but came up terrible in his first

local start - wasn't "great" in his next but at least was a close 2nd - feels like the one to beat tonight, but be

careful about falling in love at a short price. (3) FUGLEMAN hit board in his last 5 starts but only one was

a victory (his lone win from 21 career starts) - he's probably the main danger, but another that's hard to back

on top at too short a price. (2) PINE BUSH ITALIANO won his first 5 career starts last year before going

on the shelf after a loss in his 6th outing - has been struggling to find his form since returning in May but

did have some "sneaky pace" finishing near the back last week - may not be a bad week to consider using

him, assuming the price is decent. (5) ONE CRAZY GUY was a winner 2 back and has a few other good

recent starts - definitely one to consider for exotics. (1) BEST BETTOR went his best local try to date when

2nd four starts back but was then no factor in his last 3 - the good draw should put him close enough for a

chance at a small piece tonight. (7) CANT SWAY ME has a couple of no-threat 3rds from his 4 local starts

and comes into this off a disastrous speed try last week- wait for a better spot (6) FENDI HANOVER hasn't

shown much in his local outings, and gets a tough draw tonight.


RACE 4 - (3) COWGIRL LILLY is 12-6-5-1 at Yonkers this year and has won 3 in a row....but all those

stats were for her previous (40%) trainer, and she'll be going for a new barn tonight - she still deserves top

billing, but her chances are a bit more uncertain racing for new connections. (5) MIKI ROSE is just 1 for 13

here this year but races well in most of her starts - one of a few with a chance to take this if #3 fails to

deliver. (6) LIGHTNING LEIA also sports a poor win % here this year (1 for 12) but she was pretty sharp

last week, and may offer some decent value for one of our strongest trainer/driver combos. (1) WILDCAT

ANTONIA caught a weak $50K division last week and was able to get back to the winner's circle - would

be no surprise to see her back there again, with the right trip. (2) FLIP THE SCRIPT hasn't won in some

time and may be a notch below the main players - chance for a piece, though. (4) CORAL BELLA has

fallen off form - waiting for better signs before hopping back on her team.


RACE 5 - (3) LOUS BEACH can be a little in and out but can go some good miles when on his game - he

comes into this off a sharp try last week (2nd best after being used early and late), and a similar effort may

get the job done here. (5) BLANK STARE also tends to be a little unreliable but he's a good fit at this level,

and did give the streaking ROCK DIAMONDS a good battle 2 back- very logical threat. (1) MACHEASY

A seems to frequently outrace his odds here at Yonkers and last week was no exception - he draws best, and

don't be afraid to use him on your tickets if the price is decent. (7) YOROKOBI N impressed winning his

U.S. debut 2 back, then raced well again last week from an impossible spot - not sure if Stratton will be

able to get him involved from yet another bad spot, but that 15-1 ML price makes him worth at least a look.

(6) MONTANA CHIEF A has found some better form vs. easier out of town - not a bad bomb for 3rd/4th.

(2) STATE SENATOR feels like he's tailing and his barn is having a horrendous June - leaning towards

others. (8) PEDRO HANOVER was super for months but his last couple suggest that he may finally be

going in the other direction - obviously Post 8 isn't going to help. (4) MY CARBON COPY N probably

needs to be in a little easier to be a serious player.


RACE 6 - (4) EXCURSION was left with a tough trip after taking off the gate last week but still raced well

for 3rd - he's likely to be more aggressive from this spot, and perhaps can beat these with a better trip. (1)

ONTOP RAINMAN finished well for pieces in his first 3 local starts and was able to charge home for a

victory the next week when he landed on a beautiful trip - gets a gull pass for his last (8 hole, and wiped

out!) and now he moves all the way inside - would be no surprise at all. (7) HUNTSVILLE PLACE has hit

board in 4 of 6 local tries this year and that includes a victory 3 back - adds Lasix for tonight, and does have

the speed to create a good trip for himself even from Post 7- worth considering. (3) WE SHALL SEA made

a break before the start 2 back but last week's final turn miscue was attributed to broken equipment - he's

shown enough ability to be a player here, and that 10-1 ML price makes him worth a look. (5) HURRI

KANE CHUCK felt like he was tailing a bit here in May but his last couple at PcD look more encouraging

- definitely a chance for a piece tonight, though unattractive as a WIN play at that 5/2 ML price. (2) AMBI

TIOUSBEACHBOY looked better in his last couple after a few duds - draws well, and not a bad one for

3rd/4th. (6) MIKITEEN fits well enough with these but the tough post may limit his opportunities in this

pretty well matched field. (8) KRAKEN SEELSTER draws Post 8 after showing little in both YR starts.


RACE 7 - 1 1/4 miles - "CAN YOU GO THE DISTANCE" Final: (6) SIMON SAYS HANOVER missed

all of 2022 and was barely functional in his first few starts in Canada in 2023....but then he shipped down to

a barn that routinely produces amazing turnarounds, and has now won 4 straight in fairly effortless fashion

- another new distance tonight, but the result figures to be the same! (1) NIGHT WATCHMAN was a bit

steppy in the stretch 2 back and it might have cost him 2nd - looked smoother last week, and was pacing

very well late for 4th...maybe can add a little value to the exacta? (2) GARDYS LEGACY A was really

struggling to start off 2023 but suddenly came to life with that win in the half mile sprint, then was 2nd to

the top choice in his last pair - very logical threat to grab another nice chunk tonight. (8) DEETZY turned

in a good one last week to just miss, but now must find a way to blast from Post 8 and NOT get hung up

wide into the first turn - can be part of the exotics if Dube can work out a manageable trip for him. (4)

FLOW WITH JOE tripped out in his last and was able to rally in the lane for the win - another live trip

could help him land somewhere on the ticket. (3) SIX FEET APART was just "ok" in that win 2 back, then

tired after a first over attempt in last - prefer a few others ahead of him, but wouldn't be surprised if he

turned in a better effort tonight...with an easier journey. (5) BONDI SHAKE N seems a notch below some

of these, but a ground saving trip may help him take home a minor share. (7) THREE IN HEAVEN A hot

board in his last pair but with easy trips from inside posts - may not be so fortunate from out here.


RACE 8 - Very tough race! (3) BELMONT MAJOR N hasn't had a lot of success in the few times he's

shipped in here the past couple of years but he's usually faced a little better - he shows some good recent

tries at Stga., and maybe Brennan can coax a good one out of him here at Yonkers. (7) SOHO LENNON A

may never get involved tonight but he was actually very good in his last (off 3 months) and Kakaley takes

him over a horse he just won with last week (#6) - interesting longshot possibility? (8) ULTIMAROCA has

a mixed history at The Hilltop but that includes some pretty big miles - he debuts for a new crew tonight,

and it's anybody's guess how aggressive he'll be starting from Post 8. (1) GROOVY JOE has been climbing

back up the ladder lately but he really should have been better last week - he's capable of beating these if he

brings his best, but he sure looks like a potential underlay at that 7/5 ML price. (4) PHOENIX OF FLUZZY

was doing good things but didn't look quite the same in his last couple - opportunity here to rebound at a

big price, but it's also possible that he's just tailing right now. (6) TRACEUR HANOVER does good work

at YR so it was no surprise to see him ship in and pick up the victory last week - steps up in class, draws

poorly, and Kakaley opts to drive #7....mixed feelings. (5) ON ACCIDENT ran up the class ladder recently

thanks to a nice form spree but he seems to have leveled off, and it's hard to say if tonight's drop will perk

him back up - he did win at this level on 5/15. (2) PACE N PRIDE N won three straight not long ago but

that was vs. much cheaper - he's struggled at these higher levels.


RACE 9 - (2) LOUS THE ATTITUDE crushed a NW2 field three starts back - couldn't quite get it done

from Post 7 in his next (just missed after a tough trip) but score nicely on the front end in his last - remains

the one to catch and beat. (4) BUCHANNON HANOVER moves back into NW6 after holding his own

with some solid older pacers for several weeks - a live trip could make him a serious player here. (3) HUR

RIKANE JONNYBOY was 3-2-1-0 as a 2YO then made only one start at 3 -- he's been doing okay since

returning as a 4YO, finishing 2nd in 3 of his 6 starts -- his Pocono lines suggest he can be a player in his

first YR start. (6) WILLIAM HANOVER shipped in for a new barn on 6/6 and was a NW4 winner- raced

well for 3rd from a very tough spot in his next, but last week he threw a bit of a dud - if the good version

shows up tonight, he can definitely outperform that 10-1 ML price. (1) COUNTER OFFER was a 40-1

upsetter in his YR debut but has had trouble replicating that effort - the inside draw gives him a chance at a

piece. Both (5) TWO FACED and (7) YO AJ have been limited to minor pieces recently and are probably

looking at a similar scenario for tonight.


RACE 10 - (7) THE REGULATOR tried to quarter move when the pace was still hot last week and ended

up parked as a result - he battled into a :55 half and was still there into the final turn after 3/4s in 1:22.4, not

far back in 4th at the end even after he should have been exhausted - terrible spot for tonight but IF Bartlett

can somehow find him a trip, he could offer some good value! (5) BILL HALEY N did well to rally for 3rd

from a tough spot last week and his overall recent form has been solid - chance here with the right journey.

(2) UNDRTHSOUTHRNSUN N was used early last week then joined the still battling leaders three wide to

3/4s...he couldn't clear and was hung out wide through the final turn, and probably deserves a pass for

flattening into the lane - still not as sharp as he was during the Borgata Series, but sharp enough to be a

threat with these. (4) JMS FINALTREASURE ships in off a win over cheaper at The Meadows and was

racing in the 3-4YO Open when last seen here last Fall - should fit well enough to be a player tonight. (1)

SCOTT ON THE ROCKS likes to win races and ships in sharp from Tioga - he'll be class tested tonight,

and it's hard to say how he'll respond...worth a look if the price is right. (6) SHADOW CAT is winless here

in 10 starts this year but did hit board in 5 of them - willing to include underneath. (8) HUNTANOVER

goes 2nd time Lasix and probably fits well in here...he also gets stuck with Post 8 shipping in from PA and

may need to wait for a kinder spot. (3) KEYSTONE PHOENIX looked short returning from the layoff last

week - not ready to hop on his team just yet.

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