Friday Empire Report
The Empire Report – Friday, March 8, 2024 – Race Analysis
RACE 1 – (3) KARMA SEELSTER was a nice trip 2nd in her first start of the year – was no factor last week, but
still paced a crisp final half from an impossible spot – she may be handled more aggressively tonight with the goal
of sharpening up before The Matchmaker Series begins next Friday. (1) UPTOWN HANOVER is often overlooked
against the “good mares” but has proven many times that she can hold her own – should have a real say from the
pole. (2) MILLWOOD BONNIE has always been a totally streaky mare, so it’s no real shock to see her go from the
bottom level all the way up here in just a few weeks – more than sharp enough to be right in the hunt. (5) ALEXA
SKYE has been very good at multiple tracks for months (including a pair of recent 2nds here at YR) – she’s missed
3 weeks, though, and that could work against her tonight. (4) DRAGONS LUCKY LADY has been pretty consistent
lately but vs. easier – may be in a little too deep against the top ones in here. (8) DOUGS BABE A gets stuck with
Post 8 for her first start of ‘24 – have to believe she’ll be ultra-conservative, but keep an eye for future consideration.
(7) YS SENSATIONALCITY has been doing excellent work but vs. much easier – brutal assignment as she takes on
good older mares tonight. (6) MAN DONTFORGET ME will have her owner in the bike tonight and it’s terrific to
see Mr. DiNozzi back in action after that horrible accident back in November!
RACE 2 – (6) SILENT CROSSING faced better in all 3 local starts this year – she was a strong 8-2-2-0 here last
year, and faces nothing too scary upon dropping to the bottom level – gets the narrow call despite Post 6. (1) VILLA
GE JADE has been well off her best form but it’s not that long ago that she was a winner here at the NW15000 level
– decent chance for a wake up call in this spot, but she also figures to be heavily backed. (5) HALLELUJAH HANO
VER hasn’t clicked yet in ’24 but we know she’s capable of better – may be a spot where we see a better effort from
her. (3) ALWAYS B SOMEWHERE is just 4 for 42 lifetime but did race better for a new barn shipping in to Fhd.
last week – chance for a piece. (4) TARGARYEN EMPRESS has been “sneaky ok” in her last few, albeit vs, easier
– willing to throw in for 3rd/4th. (2) CATIE FAYE HAONVER was 0 for 21 here the last 2 years, and seems a little
bit cheaper – prefer others.
RACE 3 – (5) MISS CHANTILLY N has really sharpened since a recent barn change, winning 2 back in NJ then
charging home in :26 last week to almost run down #6 – she won 3 of 6 starts here last year, and should be a fair
price for her YR return. (7) A GIRL THAT TWIRLS banked over $300K as a youngster (including a NYSS win
here at Yonkers) but struggled through a disappointing 4YO campaign – she makes her debut tonight for our leading
trainer/driver tandem, and may find some of that back class in a hurry. (6) TWIN B SUNKISSED held off the top
choice last week (across the river) and has found her better form since dropping to the lower levels – a threat for
sure, but may not offer any value with that 8/5 ML price. (3) GAME OF SHADOWS usually likes to be in a bit
easier but she’s sharp right now, and did knock off #6 3 starts back – definitely ok for exotics. (2) JENDEN STRIKE
A won her U.S. debut at Stga. but faltered at PcD when harder used last week – the jury is still out on her upside. (4)
SHOTGUN PERSUASION has a couple of fairly recent wins but does feel better suited with a little easier. (1)
LYONS MIKI has raced AND looked pretty bad in her last couple of starts – sticking with others, for now.
RACE 4 – (1) MACMORRIS HANOVER faced much better in his 3 local starts last year – just returned at PcD
after 2 months off and stayed close all the way – may have found a winning spot for his Hilltop return. (2) DOO
WOP KID found his best stride late and rallied for 3rd, and did win here in 2023 – logical player from this spot. (5) B
MEDITHREE has fallen on hard times lately – he drops all the way to the basement now and while he’ll likely turn
things back around at some point, there’s no guarantee it’ll be tonight – would be careful about taking a short price
right now. (4) LUCKY WEEKEND hasn’t done much lately but he still looks better than several of the others. (8)
EVERLASTINGFASHION weakened after being overdriven in a couple of starts and now gets stuck with Post 8 off
a break last week – may need to wait for an easier spot. (7) BAZILLIONAIRE hasn’t been a player in some time,
and rarely wins anyway – brutal post on top of that. (6) MATCH MEIF YOU CAN drops right back in the box after
crawling home in back to back starts – waiting to see a better effort before considering. (3) ER NO MORE would be
a surprise, to say the least.
RACE 5 – Wide open race: (8) GLACIS may be worth a stab – he’s notoriously camera shy AND draws Post 8 but
he debuts for a new barn after a claim last week, he CAN leave at times and he does get a pilot not afraid to put one
in play – may be worth a stab against an equally suspect group. (6) KB MAC actually left last week, retreated hard
to the back but still had pace (in traffic) finishing – willing to give him a look at that 20-1 ML price. (5) HIGH ON
ROCKNROLL finally grabbed a win in local start #20, then followed that up with last week’s decent speed try –
sharp enough for a chance with the right trip. (1) QUATRAIN BLUE CHIP has a couple of good efforts for 2nd –
he’s unreliable for sure, but has to at least be considered from this spot. (2) SHARK PLAY landed on a perfect trip
last week and squandered it, hanging badly in the latter stages – figures to be overbet tonight. (7) OUR CORELLI N
isn’t bad right now but faces a tough task trying to overcome the draw. (4) ALOTBETTOR N moves to a new barn
but has really fallen on hard times lately. (3) GIVEITATRY A drops in for a tag after struggling in his first 3 U.S.
starts – sticking with others.
RACE 6 – Tough race: (5) UNEVERGONNAGETHIS has disappointed so far in 2024 but he’s also been facing
tougher – nothing else in here is all that sharp right now, so this may be a spot for a wake up call. (3) SOUTHWIND
ARTURO had a couple of tighteners under his belt and really figured to be a bigger player last week - he does drop
right back in the box so perhaps there was nothing major holding him back last week...could be a threat if he can
find his best effort. (4) SWEET SOUL DAVID weakened on the lead 2 back and folded even worse last week – he’s
another that would be very dangerous if he shows up on his “A Game”...but that’s a big “if”. (7) QUIKSILVR BLU
ECHIP had a nightmarish trip last week and was still trotting well at the wire – if the price is long enough, he’s not a
bad one to consider (at least for a piece). (2) CLEOPATRA AS drops again but is still trying to find a strong local
effort – we’ll see if a new pilot helps. (1) NEWSBOY was good to start the year but quickly leveled off – doesn’t
seem sharp enough right now, even from the pole. (6) SWISS HOUSE ON FIRE has recent wins one and two levels
down but usually struggles a bit when up in this class. (8) WESLYNN CROWN lands a brutal spot upon arrival
from DD – keep an eye for future reference.
RACE 7 – (3) OKINAWA BEACH A was a good 2nd to start off 2024 (behind EASY TO PLEASE) then was used
just a bit too hard in her next – was scratched injured after that but definitely finished with interest on 2/27 after a
conservative, shuffle trip – may be ready to come up with an upset, with the tight trip. (4) RACEY RACH N was our
choice last week after the “excuse” line the week before, but we certainly didn’t expect her to be bet down to 8/5 –
she remains a legitimate threat to take another. (5) MAGICAL MAYA A has been doing good work at Stga. and
should be a good fit with this bunch – worth considering if the price is right. (7) FADE OUT has been no factor in
her last couple and gets another terrible post for tonight...she’s also getting some class relief, won 6 of 16 here last
year and is listed at 20-1 ML – not the worst bomb you could ever consider. (1) ULTIMATE SPEED is 5-3-2-0 to
start off her local career but will be asked to tackle older mares tonight – she should be able to hold her own, but
also figures to be overbet. (6) MISS DOTIE MAE was hammered at the windows 2 back and obliterated a soft
bunch – was sent off the slight favorite last week, but couldn’t get to #4 – tonight’s draw may leave her with a
tougher trip than she’d like. (2) GINGER TREE LIZ has been away since October and figures to need a start or two.
(8) MORNING HAS BROKEN was an ok 3rd last week but the move outside may really hinder her chances tonight.
RACE 8 – (1) BLACK TIE BASH used a class drop and nice trip to charge on by last week for his first victory of
the year – he steps up a notch but he’s a proven player at this level, and the driver switch to Stratton won’t hurt –
could repeat. (3) PERFECT VIXEN added Lasix last week and came up a solid 2nd best to a classy frontrunner –
another good trip could land her on the ticket once more. (2) VALI HANOVER looks good “on paper”, but he really
hasn’t found that “top form” just yet – he can be a serious player here, but probably won’t offer any value for the top
slot. (7) HOOLIE N HECTOR benefited from an easy trip last week but still trotted well when called upon – he
drops a peg, and may be able to have a say IF Holland can find him a way into the race. (5) MALIBU KID added
hopples at Stga. 2 back (after a couple of recent miscues) and his last 2 efforts look very good – his “class” is a
question mark, but picking up for Kakaley tonight may help him hang right in there with these. (4) THE LAST CHA
PTER ended 2023 sharp and returned the same way to start off the new year – he does feel like he’s leveled off quite
a bit, but he drops in class and may be in a spot to work out a decent trip – small piece? (6) BARRY BLACK failed
to beat a horse in his last pair but he’s been known to reverse form in the past – still, a tough one to endorse right
now. (8) FULL RIGHTS is actually good right now, but faces a daunting task starting from all the way out here.
RACE 9 – (2) NINETEENTH MAN A raced well vs. better here not long ago and gets a nice draw for his YR
return – look for an aggressive try...and perhaps a visit to the winner’s circle. (6) AIR FORCE HANOVER has a
few good recent tires including last week – assuming Bartlett can find him a decent trip from this spot, he can be in
the hunt once more. (5) DRAGON SAID had plenty of pace after the fact when he returned to Yonkers on 2/15 –
was heavily backed for his next but faltered badly after cutting the mile from Post 7 – he went evenly in a quick mile
last week, and definitely fits well enough with these to take home a piece tonight. Both (7) SPRINGBRIDGE DUEL
and (8) VULCAN STAR N can be solid players at this bottom level but neither seem sharp enough to overcome the
terrible draws – both seem destined to be shooting for minor shares. (3) ROSE RUN X CON hasn’t hit board in 3
starts this year but hasn’t been terrible – chance for a small slice. (1) WARDAN EXPRESS A returns after 4 months
and may need this start. (4) VEL LETSROLL SOUTH seems a bit overmatched.
RACE 10 – (3) NO WIN NO FEED A has been a player in all 4 local starts this year but hasn’t quote been able to
find the winner’s circle – this feels like a spot where she may be able to control the action and get the job done – but
be careful about taking too short a price. (1) AVF CLAIRE shipped in very sharp from NJ and was terrific in that
victory on 2/9 – wasn’t quite as good the next week, however, and has been off 3 weeks since then – she’s prepping
for The Matchmaker tonight, so perhaps she’ll be handled a bit conservatively? (7) TREACHEROUS PENNY really
started to flourish in in the latter part of her 3YO season, crushing 4 straight (easier) fields here last Fall, then ending
her year with a win over the Open Mares at Northfield – her connections are giving her a shot in The Matchmaker,
and may want to at least race her a bit in her only start before the series starts next week – could be a part of this. (5)
SWEETEST BELLE gets a little class relief after being stuck on smaller pieces in her last few – this really isn’t a
much “easier” field, however, and she’ll need to be a bit sharper for a chance at a bigger chunk. (6) SALE EL SOL
has held up very well since making the big jump from $50K claimers but tonight’s tough post may limit her a bit (2
ndtime Lasix). (2) HEAVENS SHOWGIRL A threw a dud last start but most of her barn had an off week too – leaning
towards others, but can see her rebounding with a better try tonight. (4) TALENT TO SPARE A was outkicked
home vs. lesser last week – may need easier. (8) CRUISE ALERT was dead short in her 2024 return and now gets
stuck with Post 8.
RACE 11 – (3) BEERTHIRTY K was killed by horrendous cover last week but was trotting well at the wire – lands
in a vulnerable field, and could be a good value play in the finale. (6) CHAMBA conceded from Post 7 in his first 2
local starts but was sent to the top last week and almost pulled off the wire to wire score – can be a threat again
tonight with another aggressive try. (5) HAT TRICK MARLEAU has been incredibly unpredictable for most of the
past 2 years but he drops in class after finishing 3rd from Post 8 and any of his better efforts would make him a
player, (8) TIMESTORM has been burning a LOT of $$ here, the latest being last week’s failure to hang on at 3/5 –
he draws the 8 hole up in class, but at least he’ll finally be a price (for those that want to stick with him). (1) BRAVE
BY DESIGN will be well backed off last week’s close 2nd but it was a “fall apart” race and it’s hard to really say he
was “good” – could be vulnerable at a pretty short price. (7) SKYWAY PROFESSOR made a nice recovery after an
early break last week and would have been listed higher if not for the draw. (2) X O X O had things her own way on
the lead last week and folded anyway – she’ll perk up one of these starts, but hard to count on it right now. (4)
KASHA V has beaten much better in the past (many times) but is really struggling at the moment.